Tom Stender
· 19.10.2026
On the weekend of 17 and 18 October 2026, the first storm surge of this autumn season on the Baltic Sea hit the German coast. In some places, water levels remained below the forecast figures.
According to the Federal Maritime and Hydrographic Agency (BSH), the water level in Lübeck-Travemünde reached 1.25 metres above mean sea level (MSL), and 1.12 metres in Flensburg. The peak was reached early on Sunday morning. The water levels then fell again along the Baltic Sea coast without causing any significant damage.
No major damage was reported from Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania either. In Greifswald, the flood defences were closed; Rostock did not reach the storm surge mark.
Strong winds can drive large volumes of water towards the coast. The water then builds up there. When winds are from the east to north-east, the south-western coast of the Baltic Sea is particularly exposed. The extent to which the water level rises in a particular location also depends on the shape of the coastline and the duration of the wind.
On the North Sea, however, the strong easterly wind led to low water levels and disruption to ferry services. Water levels on both coasts do not evolve as a direct counterbalance to one another, but react to the respective effects of the wind.
According to the BSH’s classification, a storm surge on the Baltic Sea begins at a water level of one metre above mean sea level. From 1.25 metres, the authority classifies it as a moderate storm surge; from 1.50 metres, as a severe storm surge. A very severe storm surge begins at two metres above mean sea level.
For further planning, the the BSH’s current storm surge warnings crucial. A look back at the The Baltic Sea storm surge of October 2023 with reports from the ports concerned.
Weather at sea Ralf Brauner, Boris Herrmann and Hans-Jörg Nafzger explain how weather patterns develop and where sailors can obtain reliable weather information. The book covers areas of high and low pressure, regional weather events, sea states, ocean currents and meteorological trip planning. Numerous diagrams illustrate these relationships.
What impact did the storm surge have on your harbour?

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